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Analyst: John Lee, CFA
November 2, 2007
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Contents

Stock Updates

-APE.V
-IV.V
-CPP.V

New Company Coverage

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Stock Updates:

Apogee Minerals Ltd.
Company Contact Info: http://www.goldmau.com/ape.php

Symbol: APE.V, AGEEF.PK
Recent Price: C$0.370
Shares O/S: 53 M
Market Cap.: C$19.7 M
52 Week Range: $0.300 - $0.840

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Apogee is now right beneath 40 cent resistance and 50 DMA of 38 cents. Three drills are turning at Pulacayo, and results out in the following weeks would propel the stock higher, there is just not much supply left at these prices. Next target is 50 DMA at 50 cents, representing a 25% gain from current levels.

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Ivory Energy Inc.
Company Contact Info: http://www.goldmau.com/ivory_energy.php


For Albertan oil explorers, winter oil drilling was killed by uncertainty over royalty fees. Despite oil being at $90, oil juniors were hit with the perfect storm of:  the disbandment of the income trusts; the rising cost of the loonie; and the uncertainty over royalties. Gas plays like acn.to were absolutely creamed, trading at $2 from high of $6.7 in 2006. http://quote.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=ACN.TO&t=2y

Favorite momentum/growth play PXX.v is trading at about half of its 2006 high http://finance.yahoo.com/q/bc?s=PXX.V&t=5y

Well, I like to buy low and sell high. At $90/barrel, Ivory’s projected monthly cash flow in 2008 exceeds $2 million/month, which is extraordinary for a company valued at less than $60 million (market capitalization plus debt). Ivory is operating in Saskatchewan and is not affected by the Alberta royalty situation. Ivory is fundamentally sound with proven reserves operating in a safe country. Technically the stock is trading at strong support of 70 cents. This is a great entry point for both for a quick trade or a long term position. We are buying at these prices.

Symbol:
IV.V, IVVFF.PK
Recent Price: C$0.690
Shares O/S:
37 M
Market Cap. :
C$26.6 M
52 Week Range:
$0.57 - $1.05
















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Coastport Capital Inc.
Company Contact Info: http://www.goldmau.com/cpp.php

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The Western press loves to sensationalize news. They made a huge deal over Bolivia’s Morales election and how Morales was going to confiscate foreign mining rights. Two years later and India, Newmont Mining, Apex Silver and China have all increased their investments in the country and no mining properties were taken away.

The focus switched from Morales to Correa of Ecuador in 2007. Again the press takes things out of context and paints an evil brush on Correa. In the last few months, Correa’s stance on mining and foreign investment has become increasingly clear: don’t pollute, pay taxes, and we welcome you.

Just last month after Correa’s party won the majority of legislative election, Correa commented on the petroleum and mining industries. With regard to the recent issue of an operating license on an oilfield in the vicinity of the ecologically-sensitive Yasuní Reserve, he refuted accusations that the activities would be harmful and challenged opponents to suggest alternative revenue sources – a highly pragmatic position.

With regard to mining, the President referred to the National Constituent Assembly’s mandate to review concessions and draft a new Mining Act. He welcomed mining activities as long as certain conditions are met.

“Ecuador's international mining forum was held in September and the tone was one of encouragement for mining production in this South American country, according to two EMN sources present at the gathering.

About 350 conference participants cheered the Chilean and Peruvian guest speakers as they recounted their own countries' success stories including the economic growth, royalties, and social development created by industrial mining operations

The one-day event was the second such mining conference of the Correa administration but the first to include large-scale mining firms, as the earlier national mining debate presided over by former MEM Minister Alberto Acosta excluded all but small artisan miners.

Mines and Petroleum (MMP) Minister Galo Chiriboga, who recently stated his support for large-scale mining that is environmentally and socially sustainable, invited mining companies to discuss reforms that would be mutually beneficial to Ecuador and industry.

At the conference opening, Chiriboga said new mining policies would be established with the input of private companies, the government and communities affected by mining operations”

Coastport’s Shyri’s project borders IAMGOLD’s high grade 3.5million oz Au Quimsacocha project. There are several anomalies that carry the same signature as Quimsacocha.

I am not saying there is no risk in Ecuador, but I just don’t think the risk is any higher than exploring or operating in Canada, citing Northgate’s inability to get a new mining permit in BC and the sudden proposal to hike Alberta oil royalties.

CPP has completed a first round of diffusion where they survey and educate locals on the impact and benefits of drilling for local communities. A second round of diffusion is to take place this month, and then CPP can file the drill permit application, which they expect to do so by year’s end. In a perfect world, the permit grant can take place this year as well. This is one lottery ticket where a good drill hole could propel the stock multifold like VMS ventures. With the company selling for $12 million and enough cash to carry through 2008, Coastport is a dark horse that deserves a stake in a diversified portfolio.

Symbol:
CPP.V, CSTPF.PK
Recent Price: C$0.285
Shares O/S:
40 M
Market Cap. :
C$11.3 M
52 Week Range:
$0.260 - $1.16





















































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New Company Coverage:

Northern Lion Gold Corp.
Company Contact Info:  http://www.goldmau.com/nl.php

Northern Lion (TSX - V: NL) – A True VMS Story Reborn

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nl2

The name of Northern Lion probably isn’t new to you. I have owned the stock since 2005 and that is when I first met company President John Lando. I like face to face meetings, and John has always been patient enough to explain the full deal details in often long meetings with me.
In early 2007 the company transformed itself from a Finnish gold explorer to Portuguese Zinc hunter and deserves a serious fresh new look. I met with John again two weeks ago and came away calling my brokers to buy. In the past few days I bought 200,000 shares at 44 cents.

From 2004 up until early 2007, NL’s focus had been on its Haveri project in Finland. Haveri is a complex gold system with limited past open pit gold production. NL had some success in drilling Haveri (27g/Au over 9 meters), but were never able to pin down the mother lode.  In April, NL sold Haveri to Lappland Goldminers AB ("Lappland Goldminers"), a publicly--traded Swedish exploration company, for $10.46 million CDN, consisting of $5 million cash and 1,771,726 shares (the "Lappland Shares") of Lappland Goldminers, at a deemed price of approximately $3.08 CDN per share. Click here.

The purchase price was equal to the amount NL’s total investment in Finland. NL’s Lappland shares are liquid, and today are worth about $5 million CAD. Click here.
(Exchange rate Swedish Krona is 6.68 to 1 CAD)

To understand why I like Portugal and why NL switched focus, we have to talk about Eurozinc (which is now part of the famous Lundin Mining Amex: LMC). Eurozinc bought the Neves-Corvo zinc development in the prolific Iberian Pyrite Belt in March 2004 for 128 million Euros in Portugal. Click here.

Through systematic exploration and rapid expansion, in August 2006 Eurozinc combined with Lundin mining to form a $4 billion metal producing giant. The merger valued Eurozinc at over $1.5 billion. Click here.

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Neves Corvo sat on the Portugese side of the Iberian Pyrite Belt ("IPB"), which stretches between Portugal and Spain and is comprised of Late Devonian to Middle Carboniferous sedimentary and volcanic rocks. The IPB is 250 km long by 25 to 70 km wide, and has been actively mined for over 2,000 years. Over 85 VMS deposits have been identified in the belt with a bulk tonnage in excess of 1.7 billion tonnes. Seven of the deposits are in excess of 100 million tonnes, which include some of the world's richest (e.g. Neves Corvo) and largest (e.g. Rio Tinto - 335 million tones and Aljustrel - more than 270 million tonnes) VMS deposits.

comparison-of-VMS-provinces

The IPB dwarfs the world's other large volcanic massive sulphide ("VMS") provinces, such as Canada's Abitibi Belt 478 Mt) and the Bathurst Camp (252 Mt), and Sweden's Skellefte District (161 Mt).

While numerous deposits such as Rio Tinto have been discovered and put into production on the Spanish side of the pyrite belt, the Portuguese side of the belt remains vastly under explored due to lack of capital investment and previous bureaucracies. However, geology knows no boundaries and the border between Spain and Portugal reminded me of the border between Ontario and Manitoba. Great mines such as Red Lake were discovered in Ontario but few paid attention to Manitoba-side opportunities until recent activity by the likes of San Gold, HudBay and VMS Ventures.

HUDBAY MINERALS INC (HBM.TO)

VMS VENTURES INC. (Tier2) (VMS.V)


The history of Rio Tinto, and particularly the recent success of Lundin Mining's Neves Corvo project demonstrate the magnitude of potential that lies within the under-explored Portuguese region of the Iberian Pyrite Belt.

In a short period of time, Northern Lion has assembled an impressive package of land, (some 600 square kilometers) within two license blocks in highly-prospective areas of Portugal: Cercal, located in the Iberian Pyrite Belt, and Moura, located in central Portugal.

Combined, it took NL two years to finalize these exclusive license contracts with the Portuguese government (which concluded in August). It’s quite remarkable for a Canadian junior to secure such large land package with plenty of high grade (5%+ zinc) surface anomalies and old workings.

Portugal-Map


CERCAL:

Northern Lion Gold has entered into an exploration contract with the Portuguese government to explore the 240.98 km2 Cercal Licence.

The Cercal licence contains "VHMS" style gold-copper zinc-lead mineralization hosted by Paelozoic volcanic and sedimentary rocks of the Iberian Pyrite Belt (IPB). At present the only known deposit on the Cercal Licence is the Salgadinho Deposit discovered in the 1970's. This stockwork type gold copper mineralization hosts a NON Compliant 43-101 resource of 1.3M tonnes of 0.73g/t Au, 9.48g/t Ag, and 0.90% Cu, generated in 1983 by the Portuguese Government.

In August 2006, Northern Lion Gold conducted a deep penetrating air borne VTEM survey over the Cercal license area. The result of the air borne survey yielded two areas of major interest. NL intends to drill on those targets in early 2008.

MOURA:

NL got notified of the final contract agreement in June defeating other bidders because of the comprehensive exploration plan John Lando carefully put forth. John went and checked out Moura in August and was mightily blown away by the old workings, previous drilling, and the amount of data obtained from Portuguese mining government body. The immediate and most striking target is the Preguica deposit, located on the east side of the licence, which was explored by diamond drilling (37 holes) and underground (two levels 40 metres and 80 metres below the surface) during the 1950s and 1960s by the Portuguese government and Compagnie Royalle Austrienne des Mines (formerly Union Miniere) ("Austrienne").
The previous work identified two mineralized lenses, each about 350 metres long by up to 100 metres in length, and, locally, reaching maximum widths in excess of 30 metres, over a horizontal distance of 800 metres. Mineralization is open at depth. Austrienne calculated a geological estimate for the deposit of 1 million tonnes averaging 8% zinc and 2% lead (this estimate predates National Instrument 43-101 ("NI 43-101") and was not prepared in accordance with its requirements). Potential for additional mineralization exists along strike to the northwest and southeast, and elsewhere within the Preguica anticline.

A second occurrence, the Vila Ruiva deposit, is located approximately one kilometer to the southeast of Preguica. Recorded production was 12,694 tonnes, grading 42% zinc. Zinc values (to 3.14% over 1.5 metres) have been encountered in drill holes completed both down-dip and along strike.

moura-geology

NL plans an 8000 meters drill program on Moura and Cercal, and a rig is currently on the Preguica target, then will move on to Enfermarias. The results should become available in 6 to 8 weeks. A second drill rig is expected to arrive later in November. This will allow the Company to follow-up aggressively on initial drill results. 

Meet with John and you will understand why the Portuguese government chose to partner with NL. His patience and attention to detail is unparalleled, and the director list at NL is long and extensive: See management here.

Featuring Mark Bailey, the CEO of MineFinders (TSX: MFL, market cap $600 million) and director of Dynasty Metals (TSX: DMM, market cap $250 million), and Dr. Max Baker (Previous Chief Geologist for Newcrest Mining), NL spends money prudently on marketing and exploration, with shareholder’s interest in mind, which is something I can’t say for at least half of the junior management teams I meet.

With $10 million in cash and securities, a $13 million market cap, and a chance to strike big in an elephant, prolific, proven zinc belt with active participation by the majors, NL fits perfectly into my exploration portfolio. Technically, the stock tested strong support at 200 DMA of 39 cents late October on very heavy volume, once 50 cent resistance level is over come, the stock could reach 75 cents in a hurry, then ultimately test the $1 target. Selling for merely THREE MILLION DOLLARS net of cash, NL is as low risk as one can get in the exploration league.



Symbol:
NL.V, NLGCF.PK

Recent Price: C$0.445
Shares O/S:
31.2 M

Market Cap.:
C$14 M

52 Week Range: $0.190 - $0.640
Entry Price:
$0.40-$0.45







































"Through systematic exploration and rapid expansion, in August 2006 Eurozinc combined with Lundin mining to form a $4 billion metal producing giant. The merger valued Eurozinc at over $1.5 billion."




































"Over 85 VMS deposits have been identified in the IPB with a bulk tonnage in excess of 1.7 billion tonnes. Seven of the deposits are in excess of 100 million tonnes, which include some of the world's richest (e.g. Neves Corvo) and largest (e.g. Rio Tinto - 335 million tones and Aljustrel - more than 270 million tonnes) VMS deposits."


















































































































































"Moura mineralization is open at depth. Austrienne calculated a geological estimate for the deposit of 1 million tonnes averaging 8% zinc and 2% lead"











































"Vila Ruiva deposit, is located approximately one kilometer to the southeast of Preguica. Recorded production was 12,694 tonnes, grading 42% zinc"









"With $10 million in cash and securities, a $13 million market cap, and a chance to strike big in an elephant, prolific, proven zinc belt with active participation by the majors, NL fits perfectly into my exploration portfolio."


Disclaimer
Contact John Lee at administration@goldmau.com for details.

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